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HALAL TRADING ROOM Sharia-screened signals
TERMINAL
MT

MTBAETF / FundSimplify MBS ETF

$47.39 last close 2026-10-27
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Verdicts genuinely change. Free email alert the moment MTBA's does — no target price to set, unlike "Alert" above.

Sharia status
NOT COMPLIANT
Screened by look-through to its filed holdings — 53% of portfolio weight covered
Fund look-through

Simplify MBS ETF · Simplify Exchange Traded Funds

13 holdings

This fund holds short positions, so exposure is counted gross — long and short both count as exposure rather than netting off, and the weights below therefore sum to 201% of net assets rather than 100%. Shares of the portfolio are shown as shares of that gross exposure.

NON-COMPLIANT At least 106.56% of portfolio weight is in non-compliant holdings — already over the 5% threshold, so the verdict is settled whatever the unmatched 95% turns out to be. Matching more holdings can only raise this share, never lower it.

106.56% of that is conventional interest-bearing debt, identified from the fund's own filing rather than by screening an issuer. Sukuk are deliberately excluded from this test and are never counted here.

13 holdings, 11 matched (53% of weight). Portfolio as of 2026-06-30, filed 2026-08-24. Source: SEC Form N-PORT.

Portfolio shares are withheld: coverage is below the floor needed to state one. The holdings themselves are below, because the names are evidence you can check.

All holdings (13)
HoldingStatusWeightEvery methodology, and the debt ratio behind it
SIMPLIFY EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS UNSCREENED 94.59% no in-house ratios for this holding
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION NON_COMPLIANT 27.22% no in-house ratios for this holding
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION NON_COMPLIANT 24.06% no in-house ratios for this holding
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION NON_COMPLIANT 18.74% no in-house ratios for this holding
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION NON_COMPLIANT 13.60% no in-house ratios for this holding
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION NON_COMPLIANT 8.22% no in-house ratios for this holding
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION NON_COMPLIANT 5.65% no in-house ratios for this holding
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION NON_COMPLIANT 3.05% no in-house ratios for this holding
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA - BUREAU OF THE PUBLIC DEBT NON_COMPLIANT 2.86% no in-house ratios for this holding
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA - BUREAU OF THE PUBLIC DEBT NON_COMPLIANT 1.41% no in-house ratios for this holding
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA - BUREAU OF THE PUBLIC DEBT NON_COMPLIANT 0.97% no in-house ratios for this holding
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION NON_COMPLIANT 0.77% no in-house ratios for this holding
DREYFUS TRSY OBLIG CASH M UNSCREENED 0.04% no in-house ratios for this holding
Non-compliant holdingWeight
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION 27.22%
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION 24.06%
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION 18.74%
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION 13.60%
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION 8.22%
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION 5.65%
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION 3.05%
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA - BUREAU OF THE PUBLIC DEBT 2.86%
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA - BUREAU OF THE PUBLIC DEBT 1.41%
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA - BUREAU OF THE PUBLIC DEBT 0.97%

Methodology breakdown computing — it will appear here on its own.

🕌Open research, not a fatwa — verify with your own scholar.

Trade setup

Whether the technical picture shows an edge right now. Separate from the Sharia verdict, which this side never overrides.

SEPARATE FROM SHARIAH
No trade setup shown — a stock that isn't cleanly Sharia-compliant never gets a bullish verdict here.

Why this signal?

The factors behind the read, each shown with the figure it rests on, including the ones pointing the other way.

Structure4 of 5 timeframes bullish · 95.7% aligned
VWAPPrice below VWAP ($47.50)
VolumeRelative volume 2.5× the 20-day average
Momentum10-day rate of change +0.6%

Simplify MBS ETF (MTBA) is currently considered not halal (non-compliant), per our own look-through to its filed holdings. See its filed holdings and the weight breakdown below for the reasoning.

Market & analysts
Momentum (10d)
+0.6%
rate of change
SMC grade
F · 33
95.7% aligned
F · 33
SMC grade — 95.7% timeframe alignment
+0.6%
Rate of change (10d)

🕌 In-house Compliance Research

Computing the full ratio and business-activity breakdown for MTBA — this runs off the critical path so the page paints first. It will appear here on its own.

48.9448.3847.8247.2646.702025-10-272026-04-292026-10-27

Pinch or scroll to zoom · drag to pan — both axes move · double-click to reset

Support & Resistance
S3
47.49
S2
47.53
S1
47.56
PIVOT
47.61
R1
47.64
R2
47.69
R3
47.72

Classic floor-trader pivots from the last completed daily bar. Highlighted pills are the levels bracketing the current price.

Price Forecast

The range is measured volatility (ATR over the horizon), not a target — a wider band means a more volatile asset, not a stronger view. The direction is the indicator tally below. Every forecast is recorded when made and scored against the real price when it comes due, including the wrong ones. Not a recommendation, and not a fatwa.

7-day expected range
47.31 – 48.18
±0.91% from 47.74, made 2026-09-14 · resolves 2026-09-21
STRONG SELL
from 19 indicators
61.9% of our last 5789 forecasts — across every instrument we forecast, not just this one — landed inside their stated range, and 49.9% called the direction correctly.

Technical Summary

Standard indicator thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20, MACD histogram sign, price vs. average) computed on daily bars. A summary of what common indicators say — not a recommendation, and not this site's own trading verdict.

BUY
19 indicators
OscillatorsSTRONG BUY
3 buy · 4 neutral · 0 sell
Moving averagesNEUTRAL
6 buy · 0 neutral · 6 sell
Every indicator, and what it reads
IndicatorValueSignal
RSI (14)52.70NEUTRAL
Stochastic %K (14)68.74NEUTRAL
CCI (20)64.54NEUTRAL
Williams %R (14)-31.26NEUTRAL
MACD (12,26,9)0.08BUY
ROC (10)0.62BUY
Momentum (10)0.29BUY
EMA (10)47.38BUY
SMA (10)47.39BUY
EMA (20)47.30BUY
SMA (20)47.13BUY
EMA (30)47.33BUY
SMA (30)47.16BUY
EMA (50)47.46SELL
SMA (50)47.51SELL
EMA (100)47.70SELL
SMA (100)47.87SELL
EMA (200)47.92SELL
SMA (200)48.10SELL

About Simplify MBS ETF

The fund invests at least 80% of its net assets in mortgage-backed securities. The advisor defines MBS as any agency or non-agency residential or commercial mortgage-backed security and any futures contract, forward agreement, swap contract, or option linked to the preceding. It is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to achieve its investment objectives by investing primarily in MBS’s issued by the Government National Mortgage Association, Federal National Mortgage Association and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation.

Background via Yahoo Finance — informational, not part of the verdict.

Grade verdict

No real edge — avoid

SMC — Top Down

Market structure by timeframe, read from real bars. A bias per timeframe rather than a forecast — timeframes disagreeing is information, not noise.

TimeframeBiasBars
📅 Daily BULLISH 42
⏰ 4H BULLISH 32
🕐 1H BULLISH 98
⏱ 15-Min BULLISH 130
⏲ 5-Min RANGING 234

Momentum & Volume

Rate of change and relative volume against this symbol's own recent history. Momentum describes what price has done; it is not a claim about what it will do.

+0.6%
Rate of change (10d)
2.5×
Volume vs its 20-day average
-0.04
MACD (no fresh cross)
$47.38
Volume POC (today)
$47.37 – $47.39
Value area

Peer Movement

How the rest of the sector moved over the same window. Context for a price move, never a cause of one.

Peer movement computing — it will appear here on its own.

Before you act on this

The questions worth asking about any verdict on this page, answered plainly.

Is a fund screened on its name?

No. HTR reads the fund's filed holdings and screens each one, then reports the result by weight. A fund marketed as Islamic still gets the same look-through as any other.

What does unrated weight mean?

It is the share of the fund whose holdings HTR cannot cover far enough to rate. It is reported as unrated rather than counted as compliant, because a holding nobody screened should not look like one that passed.

Does the issuer's board make it compliant?

It matters, and it is noted, but it does not replace the look-through. The board's judgement and the holdings screen are shown separately so you can see when they agree and when they do not.

How often is this re-screened?

When the fund files new holdings, and on a rolling basis besides. The date on the verdict above is the last time this fund was actually recomputed.

Open research, not a fatwa. HTR applies published screening standards to filings and publishes what they say, including when they disagree. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Verdicts can change when new filings land.

Compare with

Same screen, different answers. Comparison is where the standards disagreeing becomes useful rather than confusing.

Peer screening computing — it will appear here on its own.

Insider Activity (90d)

Insider transactions reported in the last ninety days. Insiders sell for reasons that have nothing to do with a view, so a sale on its own is not a signal.

NO DATA   0 buys · 0 sells

COT Positioning — E-MINI S&P 500 - CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE

The weekly CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the broad market it tracks, not for this symbol. Positioning context for the tape — it says nothing about this company.

BEARISH   report date 2026-10-20

AI Summary

Plain-language summary of the evidence already on this page — the Sharia screen, structure, momentum, and order flow above. It explains the read; it doesn't make the call. Generated on demand (a live AI call), never run automatically.

Tell us what's working, what's confusing, or what you want to see next — read by a real person, not a form that goes nowhere.